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With 33 Days Until the Election Alison Lundergan Grimes Leads Mitch McConnell 42%-40%

2014 October 2

grimes-mcconnell-2

A new poll of Kentucky released today shows a very unpopular Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) trailing his Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes in the Senate race 42%-40%.

The poll was conducted by the Mellman Group for the Grimes campaign, shows Grimes leading McConnell 42% to 40% with 3% supporting Libertarian David Patterson and 16% undecided. McConnell’s biggest problem remains that voters don’t like him. Sen. McConnell has a 58% negative job approval rating compared to 37% who approve. McConnell’s net is one of the lowest in the country at (-21). Despite a negative ad spending barrage of $40 million against her, Grimes job approval remains in positive territory. 40% approve of her, and 39% disapprove. Given the onslaught of negative ads that she has faced, her net approval rating of (+1) is remarkable.

Grimes gets more of her support from Democrats (75%) than McConnell gets from Republicans (73%). Alison Grimes also leads McConnell with Independents (38%-29%), and moderates (49%-27%). Grimes has a net 25 point lead on the question of who will work to create good jobs, a net 24 point lead on who will work to protect Social Security and Medicare, a 20 point lead on the important question of who cares about people like you, and a 10 point lead on the question of who shares your values.

Usually, internal polls should be taken with a gigantic grain of salt, but this one is important because it has the largest sample size and lowest margin of error of any poll conducted in Kentucky. The poll also surveyed registered voters, not people who consider themselves likely to vote.

The polling has been all over the map during the 2014 election because quite frankly there is a lot of bad polling out there. The NBC/Marist poll gave McConnell an eight-point lead, while a CNN poll had McConnell up by four. The problem is that both of these polls surveyed self-identified likely voters and got their data by randomly dialing phone numbers in the state. (You too could be a pollster if you just started calling people up and asking them if they are planning to vote, and who they are going to vote for.) Needless to say, this is terrible methodology that undergraduate statistics student would be able to spot the potential flaws in. Without a screened representative sample, the data could be unreliable, which is why the polling in the Senate races has been so contradictory.

When a poll is released that shows Mitch McConnell with a positive approval rating or leading with women, those are red flags. McConnell’s job approval has been in negative territory for nearly two years, and he has been unpopular with women for just as long. Thirty-year incumbents don’t suddenly get popular. The problem is that the media and the predictive models treat all polls as being equal, but this is also why they are likely to be wrong.

The reality is that Alison Lundergan Grimes and Mitch McConnell are in a close race. Democrats have more than a puncher’s chance of taking down McConnell. Sen. McConnell is refusing to debate Grimes for a reason. The McConnell campaign knows that the election is close, and they can’t afford to have their candidate share the stage the younger and more energetic Grimes.

McConnell is trying hide behind tens of millions of dollars in negative ads, but the strategy isn’t working. Alison Lundergan Grimes has a real chance to be Kentucky’s next senator.


Source: Politicus. Written by Jason Easley.

Related: Alison Lundergan Grimes Deploys Big Dog Bill Clinton in New Knockout Ad.

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


We Couldn’t Make This Stuff Up

2014 September 30
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by chief

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


Ditch Mitch Appealing Billboards

2014 September 29
by chief
paycheck fairness

paycheck fairness

More information: here.

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


GOP Birth Control Plan Goes Nationwide

2014 September 26
by chief
that is their plan

that is their plan

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


Mitch McConnell Under Fire for Bribery Scandal

2014 September 20
by chief

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


House of Representatives Holds Benghazi Hearing

2014 September 18
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by chief

dead-horse

News Here.

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


Mitch McConnell Turns Yellow and Refuses To Debate Alison Lundergan Grimes

2014 September 17

embarrased-Mitch-485x381

After appearing to agree to a debate with his Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes in late October, Sen. Mitch McConnell abruptly flip-flopped and refused to debate the fiery Democrat.

According to WHAS11, McConnell turned down the debate because he would be on a bus tour of KENTUCKY during the potential dates,

The chances for more than one U.S. Senate debate in Kentucky narrowed Tuesday afternoon when the campaign of U.S. Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) declined specific dates agreed to less than two hours earlier by Democratic challenger Alison Lundergan Grimes.

….

“Senator McConnell will be in the middle of a bus tour during the dates suggested,” said McConnell campaign spokeswoman Allison Moore. “Ultimately, much like other debate negotiations, neither the timing nor the format could be agreed to by both campaigns.”

We all know how difficult it can be to turn the bus around, and drive to another location. McConnell has come up with what is easily the worst excuse ever for ducking a debate.

McConnell’s biggest issue with the format seemed to be that Grimes was going to be there, and he was going to have to answer questions. Mitch McConnell objected to a live audience being present, and the moderator being allowed to ask questions. Sen. McConnell’s excuses are getting more flimsy with each passing day. There is only one current debate scheduled on October 13.

The only conclusion that can be drawn from McConnell’s behavior is that he is afraid to debate Alison Lundergan Grimes. Mitch McConnell is trying to hide and ride out the storm. His strategy is to win reelection with an onslaught of negative ads against Grimes. McConnell doesn’t believe that voters in all parts of Kentucky deserve to see the candidates live together.

The Grimes campaign had this to say about Yellow Mitch’s duck and run act, “Mitch McConnell had to invent a phantom bus tour to hide from the fact that he has done next to nothing to help create jobs in 30 years, while we’ve lost thousands of good-paying jobs. Rather than accept multiple opportunities for Kentuckians to hear two very different visions for the future, McConnell is strangely comfortable hiding behind the dark money millionaires and billionaires trying to buy his way back to Washington.”

Debates are a key piece of the democratic process. Voters deserve to see their choices debate. Mitch McConnell doesn’t want the Kentucky voters informed. He doesn’t want the voters to compare the two candidates. This behavior is coming from the same candidate who constantly complains that the Koch brothers right to free speech is under attack.

If Mitch McConnell has his way, he will speak more to the Koch brothers this year than to Kentucky voters.

Sen. McConnell is running scared.


Source: Politicus. Written by Jason Easley.

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief


Once Again – Say Goodby to Old Paint

2014 August 17

not that old paint

not that old paint

The City of Fort Collins, Environmental Services Department is sponsoring another household hazardous waste collection semi-annual event. Saturday, September 6, 2014 from 9:00 am to 3:00 pm at CSU’s parking lot at the northwest corner of Lake Street and South College Avenue.

courtesy City of Fort Collins

courtesy City of Fort Collins

Follow the link to Environmental Services Department, above, for more information. The event coordinator is Erin Henggeler.

 

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Homophobic Paranoia in Utah | Daily Kos

2014 August 2

Who would have ever thought that something like this could happen in all American Mormon land?

Paul Rolly: Blogger fired from language school over ‘homophonia’

Homophones, as any English grammarian can tell you, are words that sound the same but have different meanings and often different spellings — such as be and bee, through and threw, which and witch, their and there.

This concept is taught early on to foreign students learning English because it can be confusing to someone whose native language does not have that feature.

But when the social-media specialist for a private Provo-based English language learning center wrote a blog explaining homophones, he was let go for creating the perception that the school promoted a gay agenda.

Tim Torkildson says after he wrote the blog on the website of his employer, Nomen Global Language Center, his boss and Nomen owner Clarke Woodger, called him into his office and told him he was fired.

As Torkildson tells it, Woodger said he could not trust him and that the blog about homophones was the last straw.

“Now our school is going to be associated with homosexuality,” Woodger complained, according to Torkildson, who posted the exchange on his Facebook page.

Source: Daily Kos.

 

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Will Big Oil ‘Radical Environmentalists’ Ad Campaign Backfire?

2014 July 31
by chief

 

From Colorado Pols.

Lynn Bartels of the Denver Post reported Friday, and we didn’t want it to escape mention:

A new campaign ad that features the “Flat Earth Discussion Group,” cheese by-products and a man with a sock puppet takes a humorous look at Colorado’s fracking battle, but some voters aren’t laughing.

The Environmental Policy Alliance launched the 60-second spot this month as a way to counter what it says are are false claims from “radical activists” about hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, an issue that has dominated Colorado’s political landscape for almost two years.

But in hyper-educated Colorado — which ranks second in the nation per capita for the number of people with college degrees — will the ad backfire? [Pols emphasis]

Because the oil and gas industry has–pardon the pun–money to burn on promoting its agenda, we expect them to shovel every kind of media at Colorado voters for as long as their risk/benefit equations make it gainful. This ad is a lesson in the need to better prescreen the concepts their media department/consultants/meddling executive directors hatch in a moment of heady, undisciplined groupthink. You’ve been to those meetings.

Meetings where they hatch really bad ideas.

You see, outside the world of the oil and gas industry’s vast payroll and legions of politicos and PR firms in their orbit, a large percentage of perfectly reasonable, well educated people have legitimate concerns about drilling–especially now that “fracking” has brought drilling to places it previously was not, residential areas unaccustomed to industrial activity. These are not people who want to ban the practice of fracking outright; but they are persuadable that the industry’s invasive status quo, sometimes in neighborhoods like their own, is not satisfactory.

And this ad more or less insults them all.

At the end of the day, the purpose of paid advertising is not to make the people who already agree with you chuckle, it’s to persuade persuadables who have not yet decided. This might be a good video to play at oil and gas industry trade conferences to lighten the mood or whatever, but for the purpose of reaching the middle-road segment of Colorado voters who could decide the fate of local control ballot initiatives this November, it’s misguided enough to significantly backfire on its creators.

 

Posted by Gypsy Chief